Saturday, July 16, 2005

July 16 Flu Update.

If you look on the July 14 Flu Update, you see Indonesia denying that 3 people died of bird flu.

If you look at the July 15 Flu Update, you will see that they are admitting it is bird flu.

Effect Measure comments on the about-face.

Recombinomics on the human-human transmission in Indonesia.

Recombinomics also notes there has been swine flu in Indonesia, which opens up the track for the virus to acquire mammalian characteristics.

CIDRAP has its take on the same story.


Consensus from Recombinomics, Effect Measure and CIDRAP is this:

The virus has not yet shown any consistent ability to spread from person to person. Experts concluded that the virus probably passed directly from a 11-year-old Thai girl to her mother and an aunt in September 2004, and some family clusters in Vietnam this year raised suspicions of person-to-person spread.


The New Scientist has this on the Chinese denial of the recent results published in Nature.

In the spirit of the 1930s Soviet biologist Trofim Lysenko, China is ignoring science it finds inconvenient.
The Philippines says that the flu might be LPAI.

Science Magazine says Vietnam battles flu and critics.

Here's a disaster management article detailing challenges to the public sector of many disasters, including bird flu, and what role IT can play.


WHO is upgrading is pandemic team, says Science Magazine.

The Defense Department has ordered around 1.5 million courses of Tamiflu from Roche, deliverable in February.

Recombinomics notes geese dying in Brunswick, Georgia, and the "ominous" similarity with reports from China.

Recombinomics cites Boxun reports that say there has been widespread, mild forms of bird flu in China since last year.

Recombinomics follows up with more on the reports from China.

Finally, Recombinomics reports on unconfirmed reports of bird flu in China with strongly mixed human transmission and lethality.

ProMed on the Philippines.

ProMed on Indonesia. Note the mod comment at the end that spells out some confusion in the facts of this case.

Courtesy of Epidemi.ca, here's Science Daily with this quote: "Its like watching a train wreck in slow motion."

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