Wednesday, August 22, 2007

August 22 Flu Update

The second death in Bali is now confirmed as H5N1.

proMed on Bali.

India tries to figure out how its recent flu outbreak happened.

WHO reiterates: Tamiflu is drug of first choice.

Ghana says bird flu cases reduced recently--I don't recall getting reports of ongoing cases.

Thai official says bird flu has not mutated.

Could the US, Canada and Mexico slow the spread of bird flu in a meaningful fashion.

7 of 10 Irish are oblivious to risk of bird flu.


At 6:34 PM, Blogger Wulfgang said...


Not surprising news – the second lady there in Bali who died has been confirmed with H5N1. Still not surprising: the rumors are flying that there are several more (as in numerous) ill people under quarantine, being observed for possible infection also. (There always seems to be a kernel of truth to rumors, so this area needs watching very closely).

Stop and think what the economic repercussions will be for Paradise, if only one bonafide Bali tourist gets ill from H5N1. I think the correct descriptor would be, “meltdown”.

I just loved your article out of India, which describes how the “experts” there are meeting to discuss the various possible origins of their bird flu outbreak in Manipur. The only problem is: the article really doesn’t say anything, other than “the experts are meeting and having detailed discussions”.

Unfortunately Orange, there has been some foreign source news about bird flu outbreaks in Ghana over the last 60 days. Not very much, but as recall from my Doppler H5N1 Radar, and it was mixed in with their local crimes reports, social and political activities and horoscope descriptions. It didn’t get much press attention at all.

Every once in a while, you post an article on bird flu, that the text doesn’t match the title: your bird flu article “Bird flu ‘not mutating’, from Thailand is one such article. The article actually describes “small changes of amino acids with the bird flu virus”, and “mutation in the hemagglutinin antigen (as not significant)”, and a WHO report which reveals that Thailand H5N1 viruses can “ infect people by droplet transmission if they stayed too close to a patient”. This sure sounds like small changes are indeed occurring in the H and N proteins, which indicate mutation to me.

I always stick the old axiom: “if it walks like a duck, quacks like a duck… then it must be a duck”. But what do little people like me know, who change tires for a living and greet people at Walmart ?

I see according to your last article, that 7 out of 10 Irish people are oblivious to the risk of bird flu.

Talk about “being out to lunch” or disengaged. I wonder where they’ve been over the last five years and what their government and news media has really communicated to them?

Sounds like “not much”, from their survey.



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