Thursday, November 10, 2005

November 10 Flu Update

The Vietnemese death yesterday reported by WHO was H3N0, not H5N1.

Crofsblogs notes that H3N0 isn't a recognized term, so its hard to tell what's going on.

China has reported two new deaths in Liaoning, with 116 people quarantined.

ProMed with more detail on China.

ProMed says their may be a new case in Italy, as well.

Thailand, China and Vietnam all report new outbreaks today.

Bird flu has reached Kuwait, though H5N1 has not been confirmed.

Feature piece in National Geographic quotes an expert saying that bird flu can be stopped. They are touting Thailand's relative success compared to Vietnam.

"Some scientists believe a pandemic can't be stopped, but I think they're wrong," Kumnuan Ungchusak, director of the bureau of epidemiology at the Thai Ministry of Health, said in an interview. "I believe we can contain the outbreak at its beginning … and avert a flu pandemic."

Malaysia is working on a bird flu plan.

A US analysts group has determined that a pandemic could cut global oil demand by 7M gallons per day.


China's human bird flu vaccine is ready for trial.

Farms in Nevada are taking steps to protect themselves.

VOA on the results of the Geneva summit.

Swiss report on pressure on Roche.

The French have ordered 10 millon courses of Tamiflu.

Japan is also increasing its Tamiflu stock.

Vietnam has an agreement with a Swiss company (not Roche) to help them make Tamiflu.

France inks a deal with Sanofi-Aventis to produce H5n1 vaccine.

WaPo on yesteday's $1.5B cost story.

CIDRAP on China's open worries about bird flu, including specific concerns on the danger of using weak bird vaccines.

CIDRAP on the results of the Geneva convention.

Excellent Effect Measure post talks about a Boston Children's Hospital report that says children play a role in the spread of respiratory disease--it shows up in them before it shows up in the adults. Of course, the closing schools would have a major effect on the national productivity.

If the Boston data are correct, we would want to close the schools when an outbreak is threatened, not after it is underway. They could be closed, for example, as soon as the first confirmed case is diagnosed in the region, or some similar strategy.
Recombinomics on Kuwait.

Recombinomics on Liaoning.

Promed reports on the news from four different regions.

Crofsblogs has this Canada.com story on how human corrpution could be making this worse in China.

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