Monday, March 21, 2005

March 21 Flu2 Update

Vietnemese girls marks death #14 since December 2004.

Thousands of chickens die in what may signal bird flu outbreak in Burma--thanks to commenter Bill.

Bird flu preperations in Oregon.

Canada.com on the potential ethical decisions behind rationing antivirals.

Effect Measure on the 159.

1 Comments:

At 12:10 AM, Blogger GoodDeed said...

The Canadian news article says, clearly, starkly, and flatly: Canada has 20 MM pills, which allows distribution of a combination of treatment courses of 10 pills each, and preventative courses of 42 pills each.

This is disingenuous. The preventative courses must be for the large part of the possible 6 months during which H5N1 will (not may, but will) reoccur. Let's see... 182 pills per front line person divided into 20 million = 110 thousand people who can be treated.

If we assume there are 25 MM Canadians, that's enough for 1/2 of one percent of the population.
When you add up the front line health and safety professionals and their families, my guess is that the total is a bit over one percent.

So, what we are looking at is a drug that is not available to the public or the sick or the infirm.

The public will be "naked" when this firestorm arrives.

Moreover, again, here, there is a clear reference to interruptions in the distribution of basic resources: resources = food and fuel.

In 1918, the very fabric of civilization was tested. I think we've learned nothing, at least generationally, we've learned nothing from that event.

Crying wolf when there's no wolf quickly leads to devaluation of the crier.

My view is to stop crying wolf and take proactive steps to proffer to family and those most important, those things that will insulate them from this portentious occasion.

 

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