December 18 Flu UpdateWhatever the reason, there are increasing reports of cases in Pakistan. CIDRAP here..... (Note, we could easily be seeing panic cases, not real cases).
Vigilance engendered by the possible family cluster of H5N1 avian influenza cases in Pakistan has led to many more reports of potential cases there, a World Health Organization (WHO) official said today.
ProMed also has the Pakistan story, with an interesting comment from the Mod CP, who is normally a skeptic, but notes that under some reports, conditions from Pakistan do roughly correspond to what you would expect to see from H2H transmission.
This is a really interesting story. A man on Long Island was quarantined for three days because he was feeling ill and had just gotten back from Pakistan. Furthermore....
CDC spokesman Dave Daigle said the man may have ties to people in Pakistan who have been infected with bird flu, but he was unable to elaborate.
Indonesia says it is investigating several cases where bird flu patients died, despite having no obvious exposure path.
ProMed has this as well, noting that 20% of cases did not have any obvious route of exposure.
ProMed on poultry supply fears sparked by Polish bird flu outbreaks.
Some officials in Pakistan have canceled holiday leave due to the bird flu.
Bird flu confirmed in Benin.
Halifax paper says that if you think the bird flu was gone, think again.
Computerworld runs down the blogs which are covering the bird flu, including this one:
A carefully selected headline roundup.
The Poultry industry says it expects to recover from the avian flu "disruption" and resume steady growth.
The Trust for American Health reports that budget cuts are threatening catastrophe prep.
A study in Britain says people in the country fared better than those in the city during the 1918 pandemic.
When Revere hears there is nothing to fear, he gets nervous.
Culling has brought the price of turkey way up in Britain.
Sweden has joined Denmark in raising its alert level with more bird flu in Germany.
Qatar wants Indonesia to step up its bird flu fight.
Australian group recommends 3 months supplies for a pandemic.
A nurse speaks to a Lions Club in Alabama about pandemic flu.
ProMed has an OIE report from Germany. Note the mod comment on the risk profile for backyard flocks.
Every outbreak presents the opportunity for either an formal or informal assessment of risk. Informally, in my opinion, backyard poultry present a mixed risk profile. It is good that such backyard flocks are not in the middle of a large, vertically integrated poultry company which then puts extremely large numbers of birds and
potentially employees throughout the company at some level of risk. On the other hand, backyard poultry outbreaks pose a highly variable risk depending on the knowledge of the backyard farmers, physical facilities, management techniques and many other factors that cover a wide range of risk possibilities.
There are numerous local stories that follow up on the US report on state preparation for pandemics and catastrophes. Below are some examples:
Rhode Island and Massachusetts/Bad-bad
South Carolina/Mostly bad