March 20 Flu UpdateThe culling zone in India has expanded.
This is interesting. One of the weaknesses of most H5N1 vaccines is that they require two doses to be effective, and, frankly, we're going to be hard pressed to get people to show up for one in a prepandemic situation. But, here's one that takes one shot, and a booster patch.
That bird flu in Turkey is near the Greek border.
ProMed on this outbreak, and a new one in Laos as well.
Ripple effect....as there is less poultry in India, then there is less need for poultry feed, and markets are affected.
Yet more wild allegations from the Indonesian Health Minister about how the US has used Indonesian flu vaccines.
As if in counterpoint, CIDRAP reports that the US has enough for vaccine for 13 million people and enough anti virals for 40 million people.
For the current US population estimate, click here.
Indonesia also dismisses the idea of virus reassortment.
Excellent New Statesman article on the drama playing out in West Bengal.
From an alert reader, the government knows has powerful software that models the US population and how diseases might spread.
Blog on Computerworld updates the computer world on why they should pay attention to Indonesia. This is actually a good read.
Also, an excellent Revere post on how not to deny rumors about flu cases, or, put another way, how you can be wrong even when you are right. For example:
Finally, the argument that the history of having been in Bangladesh is not relevant because there is no reported or confirmed human bird flu there is, at best, misleading. Almost everyone who knows about the situation there assumes there have been at least some cases. They just weren't recognized. Anyway, health officials are fond of saying, and the media dutifully repeats it, that almost all cases to date give a history of contact with sick poultry (even though it's not really true; a substantial fraction of cases have no such history), then it's irrelevant there are no human cases. There are a lot of birds dying from H5N1 in Bangladesh.
Prep work is ongoing in North Georgia, US.