Wednesday, January 16, 2008

January 15 Flu Update

Another bird flu death is reported in Indonesia....this is the sick 16 year old girl.

An Egyptian minister says poultry there is at high risk of bird flu.

Bird flu has hit another area of Bangladesh.

Poultry sales are down in an area near where there were flu outbreaks in India.

India will not ban poultry exports after bird flu outbreak.

CIDRAP has the news from India, where the flu has killed 35,000 poultry.

ProMed catches an interesting trend in OIE data for wild birds. Note mod comment.

Vietnam has a new bio safety lab.

The Cayman Islands look at business problems if the bird flu hits.

Q&A answers questions from India.

Note here that UK is looking up to Tamiflu coverage from 25% to 50%.

Iran and Indonesia are going to produce a bird flu vaccine.

The United Arab Emirates is tightening border controls due to bird flu concerns.


At 6:14 PM, Blogger Wulfgang said...


I can’t resist commenting about your first article out of India, that expresses concern about them not receiving any “advisory from the OIE to ban poultry exports”: my advice to India, don’t worry, the virus “has showed tremendous stability over the last several years and the risk of a human to human pandemic is overblown”. (Source: OIE Director Bernard Vallat)

I noticed the very curious and strange mod comment in your ProdMED article also. The tremendous inconsistency in H5N1 wild bird reported cases (in number, geography and timeframes) in 2007 throughout the European countries, indicates in my view the lack of consistency, coordination and rigor in their surveillance procedures, not an “epi-curve”. Sometimes, we miss the entire forest, when we concentrate only on the trees (or saplings).

The article from the Cayman Islands, which described Dr. Elaine Pierce’s briefing to the Cayman Business Outlook 2008, is quite exceptional. The article really captures the essence of Dr. Pierce’s precautionary statements, which convey the main message to their business community to “be prepared” and develop novel ways in advance to help their employees. I’ve decided as a result of this excellent preparation to move my millions to the Cayman Islands where it will probably be safe, when the doo-doo hits the fan.

And finally Orange, how could I not comment on a few of my favorite individuals, who seems to have partnered up on a deal to co-produce bird flu vaccines: Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, and Indonesian Health Minister, Siti Fadilah Supari. These three individuals, as I have mentioned many times before are stellar cerebral giants amongst the current world leaders. Indonesia supplies the most current strains of H5N1, and Iran throws their oil money into manufacturing and production of a pandemic vaccine for the two countries – what a sweetheart deal; behind the scenes and below the radar of the WHO and western Democracies.

I wonder when the remaining Avant-gardes, like Raul Castro and Hugo Chavez, are going to want in on this close-ended vaccine arrangement? (on the more serious side, I predict we are going to see a lot more of these “arrangements” in the future, as more and more countries and regions start jockeying for pandemic vaccine availability, hedging for economic and social stability, and to reduce their risk exposure)



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