February 2 Bird Flu Hits Britain.1,000 turkeys died in Suffolk and H5N1 is confirmed. Revere reports.
These links are from before confirmation was public...
A thousand turkeys died in Suffolk (UK), bird flu is being probed.
Promed with this story. Note mod comment:
Too early for clear-cut conclusions; however,in view of the fact that both cases have taken place on UK's eastern coasts, one is inclined to wonder if this is a mere coincidence or indicative of the wild-bird origin of thecurrent outbreak. - Mod. AS
Research indicates now that the H5N1 virus can infect cells in the upper respiratory path--in the past, some felt that the virus had not gone H2H because it had to infect deep lower lung tissue. However, the report says that alone has not made it more transmissible.
Revere blogs this study---must read. Research is important, but more steps needed.
CIDRAP has expert reviews of the bird flu plan CDC put out yesterday. Here's what Dr. Osterholm had to say.
Michael T. Osterholm, PhD, MPH, praised the CDC for devising a simple, clear approach to an extremely difficult public health problem.
"Now how do we take it to the next level? This is a work in progress and process," said Osterholm, director of the University of Minnesota Center for infectious Disease Research and Policy, publisher of the CIDRAP Web site. The onus is now on states and cities, which must take the plan and assess how they would make it work in their localities, he said.
Osterholm says he's not worried that officials would be reluctant to close schools in the event of an influenza pandemic, because parents will probably force the issue by keeping children home. But when to reopen schools may be a tricky question, he said. "How do you unring the bell? How do you make the school decisions if there are multiple waves?" he asked.The community mitigation strategies such as school closures and social distancing for adults will have a big impact on businesses, Osterholm said. He added that it's positive that the CDC guidance does not mention closing borders. Closing borders is unlikely to slow a pandemic, and keeping them open will ease some of the supply-chain concerns that corporations will have, in his view
Crofsblogs found this less positive report from an epidemiologist.
Revere comments on the Indonesian story that the capital had been cleared of backyard fowl. Swallow any beverages before you read the quote below....
"I can guarantee there are no backyard birds in Central Jakarta," said Muhayat, the mayor, who uses a single name. "The people here are now fully aware of the disease and voluntarily culled their birds.
Here is the story that Revere refers to.
Japan confirms presence of virulent H5N1.
WHO is in Nigeria to help.
CIDRAP weighs in on the report about small changes that effect transmissibility.
Another downside of stockpiling Tamiflu...Asian countries will soon see there stockpiles pass their expiration dates.
The World Bank is supporting a flu program in Kosovo.
US experts apparently view Toronto as a model of pandemic preparedness.
Local doc updates Montana readers on bird flu.